Leek Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leek Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Leek Town vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Leek Town 2-0 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Leek Town beat Ashton United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Leek Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Leek Town had 39% of the ball to Ashton United's 61%, shots finished 3-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leek Town and 1.00 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Leek Town vs Ashton United?
Leek Town 2-0 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 40%, draw 26%, Ashton United 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leek Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.