Harborough Town 2-2 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.81
No
48%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.9pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+20.6pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 8%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/3.15
-43% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-5 HT 0-3 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
14.01.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
2-2
AWAY AFC Sudbury
81% Ball Possession 19%
38 Total Shots 3
20 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town and AFC Sudbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Harborough Town carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Harborough Town had 81% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 19%, shots finished 38-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Harborough Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Harborough Town and 0.50 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Harborough Town 2-2 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 68%, draw 19%, AFC Sudbury 13%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harborough Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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