AFC Sudbury 1-5 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.27
-5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Harborough Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.01.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town cruised past AFC Sudbury 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town?

AFC Sudbury 1-5 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 28%, draw 30%, Harborough Town 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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