Harborough Town 1-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.03
-48% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
1-0
AWAY AFC Sudbury
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town squeezed past AFC Sudbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Harborough Town had 63% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 37%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Harborough Town 1-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 51%, draw 25%, AFC Sudbury 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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