Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.81
2-3 Goals
46%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
7.67
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
4.5
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
11%
15.0
X/1
15%
5.55
X/2
11%
5.65
X/X
15%
2.97
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
4.62
2/X
11%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-7.5pp
37%
Draw
34%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.43/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.07
+25% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.3 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Independiente
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.94
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
116 Passes 396
56% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
06.10.2024 Independiente Independiente 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-1
AWAY Independiente
0.58 xG 0.49
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
110 Passes 346
53% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 37% / 36% — and on the day Independiente made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 32% of the ball to Independiente's 68%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 1.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 27%, draw 37%, Independiente 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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