Europa 4-6 Sant Andreu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
2.36/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.24
+83% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sant Andreu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Europa Europa 3-5 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
28.01.2024 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 2-3 HT 1-1 Europa Europa İS4
17.09.2023 Europa Europa 3-0 HT 1-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
POST-MATCH Europa vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu saw off Europa 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 3-4. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sant Andreu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Europa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Europa and 2.33 for Sant Andreu.

What was the final score of Europa vs Sant Andreu?

Europa 4-6 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Sant Andreu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Europa 39%, draw 26%, Sant Andreu 35%. The final score 4-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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