Europa 3-5 Sant Andreu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
2.32/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.11
+82% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sant Andreu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 2-3 HT 1-1 Europa Europa İS4
17.09.2023 Europa Europa 3-0 HT 1-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
3-5
AWAY Sant Andreu
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Europa vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu saw off Europa 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sant Andreu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa had 59% of the ball to Sant Andreu's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Europa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Europa and 1.00 for Sant Andreu.

What was the final score of Europa vs Sant Andreu?

Europa 3-5 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Sant Andreu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Europa 40%, draw 26%, Sant Andreu 34%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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