CD Guadalajara 1-0 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.69/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Illescas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 Illescas 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
19.11.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-2 HT 1-1 Illescas İS4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara squeezed past Illescas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.50 for Illescas.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Illescas?

CD Guadalajara 1-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 52%, draw 23%, Illescas 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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