Atlético Paso 1-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.10/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.85
-2% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
01.10.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
15.01.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-1 HT 2-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
1-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso and Navalcarnero shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 43% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 57%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atlético Paso had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlético Paso and 0.67 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Navalcarnero?

Atlético Paso 1-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 33%, draw 28%, Navalcarnero 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Navalcarnero), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024
00:00 Europa vs Sant Andreu Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:30 Melilla vs CD Coria Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Tenerife II Analysis →
14:00 Union Adarve vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
14:00 Colonia Moscardo vs Getafe II Analysis →