Melilla 1-2 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.81/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.17
-37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Coria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
08.04.2023 Melilla Melilla 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
27.11.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 1-1 HT 0-1 Melilla Melilla İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria edged past Melilla 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melilla and 1.00 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of Melilla vs CD Coria?

Melilla 1-2 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melilla 46%, draw 26%, CD Coria 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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