Colonia Moscardo 3-2 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 40%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.90
+80% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
231 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
3-2
AWAY Getafe II
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
7 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo edged past Getafe II 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Colonia Moscardo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 43% of the ball to Getafe II's 57%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Getafe II?

Colonia Moscardo 3-2 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 35%, draw 30%, Getafe II 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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