Union Adarve 1-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.85/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+54% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid III
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve squeezed past Real Madrid III 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Union Adarve found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Adarve had 49% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 51%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Real Madrid III?

Union Adarve 1-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 38%, draw 30%, Real Madrid III 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Adarve), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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