Sant Andreu 2-3 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.28
+13% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sant Andreu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Europa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Europa Europa 3-0 HT 1-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa edged past Sant Andreu 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sant Andreu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Europa?

Sant Andreu 2-3 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 47%, draw 29%, Europa 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✗ Under 2.5
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