Kaya 0-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 11 Dec 2025

📅11/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
16%
5.71
Away Pick
70%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.51
Over
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.15
2-3
45%
1.96
4-5
21%
2.59
6+
11%
6.24
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.15 — our 23% vs market 14.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Pohang Steelers win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
7%
+6.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.8pp
70%
Away Win
79%
-8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaya EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 84%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 568 · 88%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.10 xG 0.99
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
213 Passes 692
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
1 Box Touches 37
3 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.10.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaya Kaya AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaya
0-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.30 xG 0.82
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
170 Passes 611
71% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaya vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over Kaya 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kaya had 26% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 74%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.30 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Kaya vs Pohang Steelers?

Kaya 0-1 Pohang Steelers in the AFCŞL2 on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaya vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kaya 14%, draw 16%, Pohang Steelers 70%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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