Gamba Osaka 2-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 11 Dec 2025

📅11/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.76
2-3
36%
1.92
4-5
29%
2.68
6+
14%
6.91
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.76 — our 21% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gamba Osaka win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ratchaburi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.48 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
530 Passes 313
92% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.10.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-2 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
2-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.83 xG 0.21
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
694 Passes 174
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka saw off Ratchaburi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gamba Osaka as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 75% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 25%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi?

Gamba Osaka 2-0 Ratchaburi in the AFCŞL2 on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 61%, draw 20%, Ratchaburi 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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