Beijing Guoan vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Beijing Guoan v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Beijing Guoan vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Beijing Guoan 1-2 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur edged past Beijing Guoan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Macarthur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Beijing Guoan had 69% of the ball to Macarthur's 31%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.18 to 2.14.
What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Macarthur?
Beijing Guoan 1-2 Macarthur in the AFCŞL2 on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 35%, draw 26%, Macarthur 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macarthur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.