Las Palmas 1-2 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 Jan 2025

Las Palmas
1-2 HT 0-0
Getafe
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Las Palmas vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.38
Over 2.5
41%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.9
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.65
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.65
X/1
12%
4.75
X/2
10%
6.32
X/X
12%
3.13
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.44
2/X
8%
15.1
Value flag · 1/X at 14.65 — our 12% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
69%
-10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
31%
+10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.09/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.36
+10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.0 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7

Las Palmas vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Getafe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.73 xG 1.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
496 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Getafe Getafe 3-3 HT 3-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
01.12.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
06.05.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
20.12.2017 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
01.03.2016 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-0 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
18.10.2015 Getafe Getafe 4-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Las Palmas 1-2 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-2
AWAY Getafe
1.35 xG 1.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Getafe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 64% of the ball to Getafe's 36%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.67 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Getafe?

Las Palmas 1-2 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 36%, draw 33%, Getafe 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Under 2.5
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