Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.24
X/2
11%
7.37
X/X
20%
3.94
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
7%
6.07
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.23/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.88
-10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.7 Crosses 17.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
221 Passes 480
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.12.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
06.05.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
20.12.2017 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
01.03.2016 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-0 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
18.10.2015 Getafe Getafe 4-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
03.04.2004 Getafe Getafe 3-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
3-3
AWAY Las Palmas
2.29 xG 1.60
27% Ball Possession 73%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
156 Passes 577
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe and Las Palmas shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe had 27% of the ball to Las Palmas's 73%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.29 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Getafe and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Las Palmas?

Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Getafe 42%, draw 33%, Las Palmas 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Getafe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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