Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
17%
5.02
X/2
17%
5.49
X/X
13%
3.34
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.5
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.9pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
0.89/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.99
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.6 Crosses 16.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.06.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
09.11.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
20.03.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
19.09.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
18.04.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
3-2
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.99 xG 1.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
240 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sevilla had 39% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 61%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.99 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sevilla and 1.17 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?

Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 34%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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