Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2024

Rayo Vallecano
1-1 HT 0-0
Cadiz
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.97
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
13%
3.75
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
11%
8.33
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayo Vallecano v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.77/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.62
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
25.8 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
327 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
25.02.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
22.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 5-1 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
06.03.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 2-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
26.09.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-1 HT 2-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
14.06.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano
1-1
AWAY Cadiz
0.71 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
322 Passes 239
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 53% of the ball to Cadiz's 47%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.71 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz?

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 47%, draw 28%, Cadiz 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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