Hercules 5-1 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.43
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
20%
4.37
6+
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.13
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
5-1
AWAY Real Betis II
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules ran out comfortable winners over Real Betis II 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hercules found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hercules had 39% of the ball to Real Betis II's 61%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Real Betis II?

Hercules 5-1 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hercules 38%, draw 30%, Real Betis II 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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