W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.17/3.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.16
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
12.7 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
226 Passes 191
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-3
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.28 xG 2.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
176 Passes 384
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) saw off W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 36% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 64%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.28 to 2.32.

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 29%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
12 Jan 2025
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