Cercle Brugge 1-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.62
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.47
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.31
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.7 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mechelen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
186 Passes 299
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
02.03.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 2-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
28.10.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
23.12.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
13.08.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.02.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-0
AWAY Mechelen
1.67 xG 1.05
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
205 Passes 480
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge squeezed past Mechelen 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cercle Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 34% of the ball to Mechelen's 66%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.67 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.33 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?

Cercle Brugge 1-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 40%, draw 26%, Mechelen 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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