Ipswich Town 3-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.33
Over
51%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.84
2-3
39%
1.95
4-5
26%
2.85
6+
10%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.84 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.15
X/1
20%
3.6
X/2
7%
16.45
X/X
14%
7.45
2/1
11%
21.55
2/2
7%
12.45
2/X
7%
20.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers The Market 16%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.09/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.07
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +123%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 66%
49.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
36.7 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.55 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
402 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNLK
14.02.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
13.09.2022 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
02.04.2021 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
19.09.2020 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
05.09.2020 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
3-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
3.38 xG 0.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
589 Passes 255
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Ipswich Town vs Bristol Rovers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ipswich Town made light work of Bristol Rovers 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. At 1.58 (~63%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Ipswich Town had 67% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 33%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 3.38 to 0.14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ipswich Town and 0.17 for Bristol Rovers.

Ipswich Town vs Bristol Rovers Result & Final Score

Ipswich Town 3-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - FA Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ipswich Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 54%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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