Newcastle 3-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
3.46
Over
58%
1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
20%
8.72
2-3
38%
2.41
4-5
30%
2.39
6+
12%
3.98
Value flag · 0-1 at 8.72 — our 20% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
25%
3.65
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
6%
14.5
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
6%
33.0
2/X
6%
34.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley The Market 9%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.20
-41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.4 Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle
3-1
AWAY Bromley
1.59 xG 0.17
81% Ball Possession 19%
17 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
713 Passes 115
91% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 4
REVIEW Newcastle vs Bromley
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Newcastle had too much for Bromley 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Newcastle had 81% of the ball to Bromley's 19%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 1.59 to 0.17.

Newcastle vs Bromley Result & Final Score

Newcastle 3-1 Bromley in the England - FA Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Newcastle vs Bromley Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Newcastle 64%, draw 18%, Bromley 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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