Central & Western 5-1 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.67
Over 2.5
65%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.6pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
18%
+16.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
82%
-16.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
3.54/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
31 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA 1-5 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western ran out comfortable winners over Tuen Mun SA 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Tuen Mun SA?

Central & Western 5-1 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 62%, draw 17%, Tuen Mun SA 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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