Citizen AA vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Citizen AA v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals
Citizen AA vs Sham Shui Po Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-4
Sham Shui Po
HK2
Citizen AA 4-1 Sham Shui Po — Actual Match Statistics
Citizen AA swept aside Sham Shui Po 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Citizen AA had 52% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 48%, shots finished 9-4.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Citizen AA and 3.00 for Sham Shui Po.
What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Sham Shui Po?
Citizen AA 4-1 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Sham Shui Po?
Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 57%, draw 22%, Sham Shui Po 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.