Eastern District 2-1 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.9pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.45/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.12
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
1W-2D-3L
AWAY South China
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 South China South China 5-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
10.03.2024 South China South China 1-1 HT 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
07.01.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-2 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
19.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-5 HT 1-3 South China South China HK2
08.01.2023 South China South China 2-2 HT 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
26.09.2021 Eastern District Eastern District 2-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
2-1
AWAY South China
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District squeezed past South China 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was South China at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eastern District had 45% of the ball to South China's 55%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South China led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eastern District and 2.67 for South China.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs South China?

Eastern District 2-1 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 33%, draw 21%, South China 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South China) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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