Al Sadd 1-0 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.31
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
31%
2.31
6+ Goals
17%
4.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
2.17/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.76
+14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.4 Crosses 12.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shamal
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.54 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
502 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
24.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
17.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.09.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
18.01.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
1-0
AWAY Al Shamal
1.62 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
341 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd nicked a narrow win over Al Shamal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Sadd had 53% of the ball to Al Shamal's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.62 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Sadd and 1.00 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?

Al Sadd 1-0 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 54%, draw 23%, Al Shamal 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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