Rayong FC 1-1 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

Rayong FC
1-1 HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayong FC v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
– Crosses 23.0
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.24 xG 1.24
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
168 Passes 595
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 45
8 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.08.2024 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayong FC TAY

Rayong FC 1-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
1-1
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.53 xG 0.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
199 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC and BG Pathum United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 43% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 57%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.53 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?

Rayong FC 1-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 31%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BG Pathum United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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