Chiangrai United 1-0 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.87/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
+37% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
13.0 Crosses 14.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
19.04.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.04.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-3 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
30.10.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
09.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
14.11.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-4 HT 0-2 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-0
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.29 xG 1.32
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
159 Passes 435
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United edged past Thai Port FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 32% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 68%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.29 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chiangrai United and 2.33 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Thai Port FC?

Chiangrai United 1-0 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 22%, draw 30%, Thai Port FC 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
12 Jan 2025
14:00 Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United Analysis →
15:00 Bangkok United vs Buriram United Analysis →