AEK Atina 2-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

AEK Atina
2-0 HT 1-0
Kallithea
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

AEK Atina vs Kallithea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 24% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
19%
3.23
X/2
5%
31.5
X/X
7%
8.85
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
4%
28.0
2/X
5%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEK Atina v Kallithea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.26/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.75
+7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
25.7 Crosses 10.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7

AEK Atina vs Kallithea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 0.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
393 Passes 153
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 0-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.11.2017 Kallithea Kallithea 2-3 HT 2-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
18.03.2006 Kallithea Kallithea 1-4 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.11.2005 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
26.02.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
24.10.2004 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN

AEK Atina 2-0 Kallithea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-0
AWAY Kallithea
1.65 xG 0.48
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
374 Passes 172
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina got the better of Kallithea 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AEK Atina had 63% of the ball to Kallithea's 37%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AEK Atina and 0.83 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Kallithea?

AEK Atina 2-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 70%, draw 17%, Kallithea 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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