PAOK 1-2 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
33.5
X/1
8%
3.27
X/2
6%
32.5
X/X
6%
8.81
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
6%
28.5
2/X
5%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.92/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.10
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
379 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.6
22.3 Crosses 9.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Volos NFC
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.88 xG 0.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
444 Passes 213
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUK
07.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
27.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
08.05.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1-2
AWAY Volos NFC
1.04 xG 1.05
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 3
425 Passes 180
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC nicked a narrow win over PAOK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PAOK at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, PAOK had 67% of the ball to Volos NFC's 33%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.04 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for PAOK and 0.33 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Volos NFC?

PAOK 1-2 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PAOK 65%, draw 19%, Volos NFC 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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