Panserraikos 2-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.2
1/2
5%
23.4
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1
7%
13.75
X/2
17%
3.63
X/X
15%
5.98
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.8
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 69%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
0.57/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.97
-61% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
19.4 Crosses 17.9
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.68 xG 2.14
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
252 Passes 479
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
11.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-3 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
29.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.04.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.12.2010 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
12.04.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.60 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
168 Passes 117
57% Pass Accuracy 45%
19 Box Touches 53
18 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Panathinaikos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Panserraikos had 52% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.60 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Panserraikos and 2.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos?

Panserraikos 2-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 21%, draw 27%, Panathinaikos 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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