Panathinaikos 3-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
28.5
X/1
11%
3.33
X/2
4%
28.0
X/X
6%
8.7
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
6%
22.7
2/X
7%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-2.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.85/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.25
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
459 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
23.2 Crosses 9.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.27 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-3 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
29.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.04.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.12.2010 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
12.04.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.03.2009 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3-1
AWAY Panserraikos
1.86 xG 1.03
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
545 Passes 228
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Panserraikos 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 67% of the ball to Panserraikos's 33%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.86 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.67 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos?

Panathinaikos 3-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 67%, draw 18%, Panserraikos 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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