Atromitos 4-2 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

Atromitos
4-2 HT 1-1
Lamia
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Atromitos vs Lamia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 25% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.14
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
16%
3.93
X/2
12%
10.2
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
9%
8.14
2/X
9%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v Lamia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +24%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.15
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.2 Crosses 14.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atromitos vs Lamia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lamia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
381 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 3-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
26.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 3-3 HT 2-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.04.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
14.01.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
17.09.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
15.05.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Atromitos 4-2 Lamia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
4-2
AWAY Lamia
2.11 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
417 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos got the better of Lamia 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atromitos had 56% of the ball to Lamia's 44%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.11 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Lamia?

Atromitos 4-2 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 44%, draw 27%, Lamia 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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