Caldiero Terme 2-3 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.84
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 45%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldiero Terme İTCK
29.10.2024 Caldiero Terme 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
2-3
AWAY GIANA Erminio
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio edged past Caldiero Terme 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 37% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 63%, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caldiero Terme had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caldiero Terme and 0.50 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio?

Caldiero Terme 2-3 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 30%, draw 34%, GIANA Erminio 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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