Cruz Azul 5-0 Real Du Cap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
13.9
2-3
41%
3.04
4-5
27%
2.22
6+
14%
2.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
85%
-22.8pp
20%
Draw
8%
+11.2pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Du Cap The Market 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 74%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Du Cap
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.97 xG 0.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
457 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 3
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.02.2025 Real Du Cap Real Du Cap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
5-0
AWAY Real Du Cap
3.86 xG 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
360 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Real Du Cap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul swept aside Real Du Cap 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 57% of the ball to Real Du Cap's 43%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 3.86 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Real Du Cap?

Cruz Azul 5-0 Real Du Cap in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Real Du Cap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 62%, draw 20%, Real Du Cap 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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CON More CONCACAF Champions League
12 Feb 2025
04:00 Monterrey vs Forge Analysis →