Monterrey 3-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.96
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
20%
6.46
2-3
44%
2.11
4-5
24%
2.37
6+
12%
4.62
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.46 — our 20% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Monterrey win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.6pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge The Market 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.66/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.83
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
25.9 Crosses 14.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Forge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.98 xG 0.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
336 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.02.2025 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
3-0
AWAY Forge
1.23 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
500 Passes 246
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey ran out comfortable winners over Forge 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Monterrey had 64% of the ball to Forge's 36%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.23 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Forge?

Monterrey 3-0 Forge in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 62%, draw 21%, Forge 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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