Kwara United 2-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.1pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.44/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.21
-2% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Shooting Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.12.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
03.04.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
12.11.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
26.01.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
2-0
AWAY Shooting Stars
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United got the better of Shooting Stars 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kwara United had 48% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kwara United and 1.50 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Shooting Stars?

Kwara United 2-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 48%, draw 31%, Shooting Stars 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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