La Equidad 3-2 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Feb 2026

📅12/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.52
Over
39%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.07
No
51%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.15 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
0.77 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.2 Crosses 15.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
206 Passes 307
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-4 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
06.04.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-1 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.03.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.80 xG 1.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
266 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

La Equidad squeezed past Deportivo Cali 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Deportivo Cali saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 0.80 to 1.32 — on chances, Deportivo Cali could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for La Equidad against 1.50 for Deportivo Cali.

La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali Result & Final Score

La Equidad 3-2 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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