La Equidad 0-4 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.94/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
-30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.8 Crosses 15.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-1 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.03.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
27.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-4
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.13 xG 2.37
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
81 Passes 360
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
1 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali ran out comfortable winners over La Equidad 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Deportivo Cali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 25% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 75%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.13 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 1.00 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali?

La Equidad 0-4 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 35%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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