Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.70/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.88
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.5 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.70 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
295 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
03.12.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
30.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
18.07.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
07.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.64 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
212 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 41% of the ball to Santa Fe's 59%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.64 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe?

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 31%, draw 28%, Santa Fe 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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