Llaneros 0-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.95/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.97
+0% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
14.8 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
267 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 0-1 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
0-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.57 xG 1.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
299 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas squeezed past Llaneros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Llaneros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Llaneros had 57% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 43%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.57 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aguilas Doradas's control.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas?

Llaneros 0-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 44%, draw 25%, Aguilas Doradas 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Llaneros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llaneros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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