Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 12 Mar 2024

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0-2 HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2023/2024

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
8%
8.96
X/2
14%
4.28
X/X
16%
5.77
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.24
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 57%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.61/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.64
+137% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +92%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
6.0 Crosses 21.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.54 xG 1.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
281 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
01.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-4 HT 3-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
23.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
05.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.55 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
267 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh saw off Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 46% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 2.17 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 27%, draw 27%, Al Hilal Riyadh 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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