Atletico Tigre 2-3 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.88
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.14 — our 42% vs market 39.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.99
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
11%
15.2
X/1
13%
7.01
X/2
15%
4.25
X/X
12%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.98
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.79
-35% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.6 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lanus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
02.04.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
03.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
01.03.2022 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
27.10.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
06.05.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
2-3
AWAY Lanus
1.59 xG 2.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
214 Passes 251
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus squeezed past Atletico Tigre 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 48% of the ball to Lanus's 52%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.59 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tigre and 0.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Lanus?

Atletico Tigre 2-3 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 28%, draw 32%, Lanus 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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