Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.05
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
14%
6.17
X/X
22%
3.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
5.33
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
06.08.2023 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJPBN
02.04.2023 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 3-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.85 xG 1.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 132
79% Pass Accuracy 56%
21 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra edged past Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Deportivo Riestra made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 36%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.85 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Independiente Rivadavia.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.00 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 37%, draw 33%, Deportivo Riestra 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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