Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.08
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.19
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.95
X/1
18%
5.34
X/2
13%
5.01
X/X
11%
3.41
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.0
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.9pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.15
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.5 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 0.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
196 Passes 377
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
08.04.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-3 HT 3-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
05.10.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
31.10.2021 Banfield Banfield 2-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
01.04.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-3 HT 1-2 Banfield Banfield ARJ
25.11.2019 Banfield Banfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-2
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.94 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
252 Passes 283
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield nicked a narrow win over Banfield 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Banfield at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banfield had 48% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 52%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banfield had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Banfield and 1.17 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Velez Sarsfield?

Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banfield 42%, draw 28%, Velez Sarsfield 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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