Javor Ivanjica 2-1 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.7pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.26/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
24.5 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Javor Ivanjica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
235 Passes 266
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
23.04.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
12.03.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
12.09.2022 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-2 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
27.02.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
22.08.2020 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-1 HT 2-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Javor Ivanjica
2-1
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.89 xG 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
188 Passes 341
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Javor Ivanjica vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Javor Ivanjica nicked a narrow win over Radnik Surdulica 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Javor Ivanjica as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Javor Ivanjica had 38% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 62%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Javor Ivanjica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Javor Ivanjica and 0.83 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Javor Ivanjica vs Radnik Surdulica?

Javor Ivanjica 2-1 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Javor Ivanjica vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Javor Ivanjica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Javor Ivanjica 52%, draw 25%, Radnik Surdulica 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Javor Ivanjica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Javor Ivanjica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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