Novi Pazar 2-2 Vozdovac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vozdovac EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-26% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.3 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Vozdovac
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 304
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 Vozdovac Vozdovac 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
26.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
23.10.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
08.07.2022 Vozdovac Vozdovac 1-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.12.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
15.08.2021 Vozdovac Vozdovac 3-2 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-2
AWAY Vozdovac
2.48 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
228 Passes 256
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Vozdovac couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 47% of the ball to Vozdovac's 53%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.48 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vozdovac led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.00 for Vozdovac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac?

Novi Pazar 2-2 Vozdovac in the Serbia - Super League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 45%, draw 27%, Vozdovac 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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